September 2016 Curve Prediction

Comments

• esteerose Alum Member

  September 2016 382 karma

  I do not know what this is. They curve the score?? (taking in dec)
• lsatblitz Alum Member

  September 2016 521 karma

  -13 for a 170
• blah170blah Alum Inactive ⭐

  September 2016 3550 karma

  @lsatblitz Oh man, if ONLYYYYYYYY. I'm less optimistic - I'm thinking -10/-11
• 1 Like

  Alex Alum Member ⭐

  September 2016 edited September 2016 23929 karma

  -12 is my prediction.
  
  ETA: Complete conjecture based off of what others have told me. I didn't take the test.
• StopLawying Alum Member

  September 2016 821 karma

  Same here, didn't take the test but from what I've heard: RC same as 78, LG harder because of last game, and LR very easy. So thinking -11,-12
• 2 Likes

  danielznelson Alum Inactive Sage Inactive ⭐

  September 2016 4186 karma

  -10/-11. Would've gone -9, because of the easy 3 LG, but the last game did have six questions, as opposed to the normal five for weird games. Also, it seems LSAC is straying away from the extreme curves, both low and high, though I could be off on that.
• 1 Like

  yimei Member

  September 2016 138 karma

  @esteerose We are trying to predict what the maximum number of wrong answers for 170s is.
• 1 Like

  lsatblitz Alum Member

  September 2016 521 karma

  @blah170blah said:
  Oh man, if ONLYYYYYYYY. I'm less optimistic - I'm thinking -10/-11
  

  I feel good about the curve. This test had harder RC and games than 77, and that one got a -12. I felt like 78 was a walk in the park compared to this last one, and 78 got a -11.
  
  Sticking to my -13 prediction.
• 1 Like

  Ron Swanson Alum Member Inactive ⭐

  September 2016 1650 karma

  I feel like the most notable takeaway from 78 was clay tablets and some tricky LR questions.
  
  Seems like a lot of people were tripped up by the lacquer passage and obviously the virus game was a curveball. True, LR seemed pretty straight forward but there were still some curve breakers.
  
  My guess is -12 but definitely hope for -13
• esteerose Alum Member

  September 2016 edited September 2016 382 karma

  @yimei So, my sort-of-not-very-high PT score might be higher on the day of the real test... if everyone does really bad on the December LSAT?
• 1 Like

  yimei Member

  September 2016 138 karma

  @esteerose said:
  So, my sort-of-not-very-high PT score might be higher on the day of the real test... if everyone does really bad on the December LSAT?
  

  Yea. LSAT score is based on your percentile among the test-takers
• 1 Like

  Daniel.Sieradzki Member Sage ⭐

  September 2016 edited October 2016 2301 karma

  @esteerose Yes, but the curve is pre-determined based on when the September test was given as an experimental in past LSAT administrations
• TheMikey Alum Member

  September 2016 4196 karma

  -13
• 1 Like

  Daniel.Sieradzki Member Sage ⭐

  October 2016 2301 karma

  -13 seems fair
• Daniel.Sieradzki Member Sage ⭐

  October 2016 edited October 2016 2301 karma

  Daniel I love you, but I so hope you are wrong.
• 1 Like

  danielznelson Alum Inactive Sage Inactive ⭐

  October 2016 4186 karma

  @Daniel.Sieradzki We all want me to be wrong! I could of course argue people are overemphasizing the degree of difficulty, hoping they receive a generous curve, but it could just as easily be argued that I'm unconsciously preparing for the worse and predicting a low curve as a result.
  
  Still, I would be shocked beyond all belief if it were that high. We're in PT 72 territory at that point.
  
  Let's hope I'm way off on this one.
• 1 Like

  Cant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor

  October 2016 28109 karma

  I had a dream last night that it was -9, lol.
• 3 Likes

  Kateryna Alum Member

  October 2016 984 karma

  @"Cant Get Right" thats a cruel, cruel thing to say/dream about. worst nightmare i have ever heard of
• 4 Likes

  inactive Alum Member

  October 2016 12637 karma

  @"Cant Get Right" said:
  I had a dream last night that it was -9, lol.
  

  http://cdn.shopify.com/s/files/1/0185/5092/products/persons-0027.png
• 1 Like

  BruiserWoods Member Inactive ⭐

  October 2016 1706 karma

  @"Dillon A. Wright" DON'T SAY THAT
• 3 Likes

  inactive Alum Member

  October 2016 12637 karma

  @BruiserWoods said:
  DON'T SAY THAT
  

  THAT WASN'T ME
• 3 Likes

  BruiserWoods Member Inactive ⭐

  October 2016 1706 karma

  @"Dillon A. Wright" lol jk u right
  
  @"Cant Get Right" DON'T SAY THAT
• 2 Likes

  Cant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor

  October 2016 28109 karma

  I just dreamed it @BruiserWoods . @danielznelson is the one saying it for real real.
• 1 Like

  tofuspeedstar Alum Member

  October 2016 edited October 2016 139 karma

  -13/-14. They gave 71 a -14 curve and I didn't even feel it was that difficult.
  
  79 felt like they took the RC of 78 and LG of 77 and put them together along with an insanely tough LR2. LR1 was alright (3/5 on the difficulty scale)
• 1 Like

  Cant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor

  October 2016 28109 karma

  -13/-14. They gave 71 a -14 curve and I didn't even feel it was that difficult.

  See, this is what I'm talking about!
• 1 Like

  LibertyKoko Member

  October 2016 61 karma

  Spivey said -13 and Killoran said -12, so that has to be a good sign
• Cant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor

  October 2016 28109 karma

  Spivey said -13 and Killoran said -12, so that has to be a good sign

  That's definitely a good sign @LibertyKoko ! What did they base those predictions on, if you wouldn't mind elaborating?
• 1 Like

  Ron Swanson Alum Member Inactive ⭐

  October 2016 1650 karma

  @LibertyKoko where can I find the Spivey article?
• 2 Likes

  yimei Member

  October 2016 138 karma

  @"Ron Swanson" said:
  where can I find the Spivey article?
  

  His twitter
• 2 Likes

  BruiserWoods Member Inactive ⭐

  October 2016 1706 karma

  @"Ron Swanson" its on Spivey's Twitter. I already tweeted him. Stay tuned for updates.
• 1 Like

  danielznelson Alum Inactive Sage Inactive ⭐

  October 2016 4186 karma

  @"Cant Get Right"
  
  Please don't hate me, everyone!
  
  http://25.media.tumblr.com/e16c9944294abfb9f38bc46629cf9413/tumblr_mz7ybdPPuK1sv6zdro6_r1_250.gif
• 2 Likes

  Cant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor

  October 2016 28109 karma

  It's not that we hate you @danielznelson . It's that your reasoning makes us confused and scared, lol.
• 1 Like

  TheLoftGuy Alum Member

  October 2016 edited October 2016 698 karma

  Idk much about the curve but this is great news. Means my score will be even higher. Scholarships await
• 1 Like

  yimei Member

  October 2016 138 karma

  @"Cant Get Right" Powerscore’s prediction was based on: “ I estimate it based on numerous test reports I receive that evaluate difficulty. Cancels seem normal thus far, fyi.”
  

  https://twitter.com/DaveKilloran/status/782119806623375360
• 1 Like

  Cant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor

  October 2016 28109 karma

  Cool, thanks for that @yimei !
• 1 Like

  combsni Free Trial Member

  October 2016 652 karma

  -15 lol
• 2 Likes

  CalPoliSci Member

  October 2016 236 karma

  And how accurate has Spivey been in the past?