Anders: The physical structure of the brain plays an important role in thinking. So researchers developing “thinking machines”—computers that can make decisions based on both common sense and factual knowledge—should closely model those machines on the structure of the brain.

Yang: Important does not mean essential. After all, no flying machine closely modeled on birds has worked; workable aircraft are structurally very different from birds. So thinking machines closely modeled on the brain are also likely to fail. In developing a workable thinking machine, researchers would therefore increase their chances of success if they focus on the brain’s function and simply ignore its physical structure.

Summarize Argument
Yang concludes that researchers should focus on brain function rather than structure when trying to create thinking machines. This is because flying machines modeled on bird structures have never worked.

Notable Assumptions
Yang assumes that flying and thinking are similar. If flying depends more on function whereas thinking depends on structure, then Yang’s argument makes little sense. Yang also assumes that researchers should focus entirely on the aspect of the brain that will be most relevant to the eventual thinking machine (function) while totally ignoring another important aspect (structure). This means Yang thinks there’s little value at all in studying brain structure if the thinking machine won’t employ the brain’s structure.

A
studies of the physical structure of birds provided information crucial to the development of workable aircraft
If the answer is yes, then researchers should continue to study brain structure to avoid missing out on crucial information. If the answer is no, then studying structure would in fact be wasted time. The first answer weakens Yang’s argument, while the second strengthens.
B
researchers currently working on thinking machines take all thinking to involve both common sense and factual knowledge
Irrelevant. We have no idea how common sense and factual knowledge relate to structure and function.
C
as much time has been spent trying to develop a workable thinking machine as had been spent in developing the first workable aircraft
We don’t care how long researchers have spent trying to develop thinking machines and aircrafts. We care about whether they should be focusing on structure or function.
D
researchers who specialize in the structure of the brain are among those who are trying to develop thinking machines
These researchers don’t necessarily need to be specialists. Besides, Yang recommends focusing on function rather than structure.
E
some flying machines that were not closely modeled on birds failed to work
Yang doesn’t claim that all flying machines not focused on structure will work. He just says that structure isn’t useful for creating a flying machine or a thinking machine.

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Anders: The physical structure of the brain plays an important role in thinking. So researchers developing “thinking machines”—computers that can make decisions based on both common sense and factual knowledge—should closely model those machines on the structure of the brain.

Yang: Important does not mean essential. After all, no flying machine closely modeled on birds has worked; workable aircraft are structurally very different from birds. So thinking machines closely modeled on the brain are also likely to fail. In developing a workable thinking machine, researchers would therefore increase their chances of success if they focus on the brain’s function and simply ignore its physical structure.

Summarize Argument: Counter-Position
Anders concludes that researchers developing thinking machines should model them on the brain’s structure: since the structure of the brain is important in its function, thinking machines should follow a similar physical model in order to achieve a similar function.
Yang concludes that those researchers would be more successful if they focus on the brain’s function and ignore its structure. As support, Yang uses an analogy: since all flying machines modeled on birds failed, thinking machines structurally modeled on the brain are also likely to fail.

Yang concludes..... this is in contrast to Anders’ view that......

Yang disagrees with Anders that... Rather, Yang concludes that....

Identify Argument Part
The statement in the question stem is a sub-conclusion. It gains support from the analogy about birds and airplanes, and it supports Yang’s main conclusion that researchers should focus on the brain’s function and ignore the its structure to develop a thinking machine.

A
the main conclusion of the argument
The main conclusion of Yang’s argument is that researchers should focus on the brain’s function and ignore its physical structure; the claim in the question stem supports this conclusion.
B
a subsidiary conclusion used in support of the main conclusion
The claim in the question stem is a subsidiary conclusion. It is supported from one part of the argument: the premise that no flying machine closely modeled on birds worked. The claim also provides support for Yang’s main conclusion, making it a subsidiary conclusion.
C
a principle of research invoked in support of the conclusion
The claim in the question stem is not used as a general principle of research; instead, it is a prediction based on the analogous case of airplanes and birds.
D
a particular example illustrating a general claim
Yang’s argument is not illustrating a general claim; the conclusion of Yang’s argument is specific to thinking machines. Because of this, the subsidiary conclusion referenced in the question stem can not be said to be “illustrating a general claim.”
E
background information providing a context for the argument
The statement in the question stem is not used as context. Instead, it is a sub-conclusion.

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The conclusion is the first sentence. The verb "promotes" is causal. We are talking about whether democracy as a political system promotes political freedom (i.e., whether it causes there to be more political freedom) in general.

Step back for a second and think about what it means to say A promotes B in general (as opposed to a specific A and a specific B). For example, exercise promotes good health (as opposed to Joe's exercising promoting his good health). Again, it's pretty obvious that we're talking about causation. But what does "causation" mean here?

Does it mean that A is sufficient for B? No. Because "exercise is sufficient for good health" is false but "exercise promotes good health" is true. Plenty of people exercise and are not in good health. In fact, their poor state of health may be why they're exercising - they're trying to improve their health. And plenty of other people exercise to the detriment of their health. They overdo it, hurt themselves, or worse. But it's still true that "exercise promotes good health."

Does it mean that A is necessary for B? No. Because "exercise is necessary for good health" is also false. Plenty of people don't exercise yet are perfectly healthy. Maybe they have great genes, a healthy diet, or they're just young. There could be a number of reasons. But it's still true that "exercise promotes good health."

The point is that a causal claim like "A promotes B" doesn't mean that A is sufficient for B nor does it mean that A is necessary for B. Because that's just not how causation works in the world. Causes tend to be partial. They tend to exert their causal power along with other causal forces. Exercise in fact is a causal component for good health but there are many other causal components (genes, diet, age, preventative medicine, not getting hit by a bus, etc.). They all work together to produce the effect.

This is the confusion at the heart of the argument. The "political scientist's" conclusion is a causal claim but she confused it for a bi-conditional claim.

Let's help her out. Let's swap out her causal conclusion with a bi-conditional conclusion: It's not the case that political freedom is promoted if and only if the political system is a democracy.

If we don't touch the rest of her argument, then she's all set. Premise one "democracies that suppress political freedom" proves that democracy isn't sufficient. Premise two "autocracies that promote political freedom" proves that democracy isn't necessary. Done!

So another way that the correct answer could have been worded is perhaps something like this: The reasoning in the political scientist's argument is flawed because it confuses a causal claim with a conditional claim.

But if you scratch that a bit and ask "Why is it a reasoning flaw to confuse a causal claim with a conditional claim," well, stroll right on over to (D). It's a flaw because in general, a cause can be a cause without being either sufficient nor necessary. Democracy can be a promote political freedom without being sufficient nor necessary for political freedom.

All of the above is with the caveat that we're talking about general phenomena, which is what this question is about. If instead you want to talk about specific phenomena, like Joe's rainy weekend rock climbing accident causing his extra-articular wrist fracture, then his rock climbing is a necessary condition. Had he not gone rock climbing, then his wrist wouldn't have broken in that exact way. But his rock climbing still isn't sufficient since all other causal forces had to conspire, e.g. the rain had to have fallen in order to make the rock slippery in the first place.


31 comments

Loggerhead turtles live and breed in distinct groups, of which some are in the Pacific Ocean and some are in the Atlantic. New evidence suggests that juvenile Pacific loggerheads that feed near the Baja peninsula hatch in Japanese waters 10,000 kilometers away. Ninety-five percent of the DNA samples taken from the Baja turtles match those taken from turtles at the Japanese nesting sites.

Summarize Argument: Phenomenon-Hypothesis
The author hypothesizes that juvenile Pacific loggerhead turtles that feed near the Baja peninsula hatch 10,000 kilometers away, near Japan. As support for this hypothesis, the author says that 95% of the DNA from these turtles near the Baja peninsula matches the DNA of the turtles near Japan.

Notable Assumptions
The author assumes that a 95% DNA match is enough to conclude that different turtles belong to the same group.

A
Nesting sites of loggerhead turtles have been found off the Pacific coast of North America several thousand kilometers north of the Baja peninsula.
Our argument is whether or not the turtles near the Baja peninsula and the turtles near Japan belong to the same group; the fact that there are other nesting sites is irrelevant to the argument.
B
The distance between nesting sites and feeding sites of Atlantic loggerhead turtles is less than 5,000 kilometers.
This provides more information about conditions exclusively in the Atlantic Ocean, while our argument discusses Pacific turtles. This information does not impact our argument about the Pacific turtles.
C
Loggerhead hatchlings in Japanese waters have been declining in number for the last decade while the number of nesting sites near the Baja peninsula has remained constant.
This answer does not weaken the argument because it gives information about the number of hatchlings (aka individual turtles) near Japan, but the number of nesting sites near the Baja peninsula. Comparing these different data points is not useful and doesn’t weaken the argument.
D
Ninety-five percent of the DNA samples taken from the Baja turtles match those taken from Atlantic loggerhead turtles.
This tells us that two sets of turtles that are definitely from different groups (Atlantic turtles and Pacific turtles) have a 95% DNA match. If turtles from different groups can have 95% DNA match, then the argument loses its support.
E
Commercial aquariums have been successfully breeding Atlantic loggerheads with Pacific loggerheads for the last five years.
The argument is about turtles in the wild, and whether or not turtles found in two different areas belong to the same group. (E) does not provide any information that impacts this argument.

48 comments

A recent study reveals that television advertising does not significantly affect children’s preferences for breakfast cereals. The study compared two groups of children. One group had watched no television, and the other group had watched average amounts of television and its advertising. Both groups strongly preferred the sugary cereals heavily advertised on television.

Summarize Argument: Phenomenon-Hypothesis
The author hypothesizes that TV advertising doesn’t have a strong impact on children’s cereal preferences. This hypothesis is based on a study that compared the cereal preferences of children who had watched no television with children who had watched average amounts of television. The study showed that both groups strongly preferred sugary cereals that were heavily advertised on television.

Notable Assumptions
The argument assumes that the group of children who had watched no TV was not indirectly impacted in some way by the TV ads. Additionally, it could be the case that the children who watched TV were swayed by the TV ads, and the children who watched no TV were swayed by something else, like print ads. The study cited does not strongly support the conclusion that TV ads are not strongly impacting children’s preferences.

A
The preferences of children who do not watch television advertising are influenced by the preferences of children who watch the advertising.
(A) shows that the children who hadn’t watched any television could have been indirectly influenced by the television ads. This is an alternate hypothesis that could explain the study results, so it weakens the author’s argument.
B
The preference for sweets is not a universal trait in humans, and can be influenced by environmental factors such as television advertising.
The fact that it’s possible for something like television advertising to influence preferences does nothing to suggest that it did influence preferences. This does not provide any information that impacts the argument.
C
Most of the children in the group that had watched television were already familiar with the advertisements for these cereals.
It doesn’t matter if these children were already familiar with the advertisements, because they would have become familiar during the experiment. It doesn’t matter when they were exposed to the ads; we only care if they were influenced by these ads.
D
Both groups rejected cereals low in sugar even when these cereals were heavily advertised on television.
This provides further information to suggest that advertisements don’t successfully impact children’s preferences. This agrees with the argument’s conclusion and does not weaken the argument.
E
Cereal preferences of adults who watch television are known to be significantly different from the cereal preferences of adults who do not watch television.
The argument is about children’s preferences, so this information about adults is irrelevant to the argument and does not weaken it.

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Technological progress makes economic growth and widespread prosperity possible; it also makes a worker’s particular skills less crucial to production. Yet workers’ satisfaction in their work depends on their believing that their work is difficult and requires uncommon skills. Clearly, then, technological progress _______.

Summary
Technological progress is required for economic growth and widespread prosperity. Technological progress also causes a worker’s particular skills to be less crucial to production. A worker’s satisfaction depends on the belief that their work is difficult and requires uncommon skills.

Strongly Supported Conclusions
Clearly, then, technological progress may cause worker satisfaction to decrease.

A
decreases the quality of most products
This answer is unsupported. We don’t know anything about the quality of products from the stimulus.
B
provides benefits only to those whose work is not directly affected by it
This answer is unsupported. We don’t know from the stimulus who, if anyone in particular, benefits from technological progress. We only know that it is required for economic growth and widespread prosperity.
C
is generally opposed by the workers whose work will be directly affected by it
This answer is unsupported. We don’t know from the stimulus whether workers support or oppose technological progress. They may nonetheless support it because it could make their jobs easier, less time consuming, and so forth.
D
causes workers to feel less satisfaction in their work
This answer is strongly supported. We know from the stimulus that worker satisfaction depends on workers believing that their work is difficult. Yet, technological progress causes a worker’s importance to decrease.
E
eliminates many workers’ jobs
This answer is unsupported. We don’t know from the stimulus whether any jobs would be eliminated. To say that a worker’s role becomes less crucial is not equivalent to saying the worker’s role would be eliminated.

9 comments

Environmentalist: The complex ecosystem of the North American prairie has largely been destroyed to produce cattle feed. But the prairie ecosystem once supported 30 to 70 million bison, whereas North American agriculture now supports about 50 million cattle. Since bison yield as much meat as cattle, and the natural prairie required neither pesticides, machinery, nor government subsidies, returning as much land as possible to an uncultivated state could restore biodiversity without a major decrease in meat production.

Summarize Argument
The environmentalist concludes that returning land to an uncultivated state could avoid a major decrease in meat production while also restoring biodiversity. We know this because the prairie once supported 30 to 70 million bison––which is similar to the number of cattle that the North American prairie currently supports (50 million). However, in order to support the current cattle population, the prairie has been destroyed to produce cattle feed. Bison provide as much meat as cattle, but without needing the pesticides, machinery, or government subsidies that damage the prairie ecosystem.

Identify Conclusion
The conclusion tells us that it is possible to balance restoring biodiversity with maintaining meat production: “Returning as much land as possible to an uncultivated state could restore biodiversity without a major decrease in meat production.”

A
If earlier North American agricultural techniques were reintroduced, meat production would decrease only slightly.
This conditional statement is not supported by the argument, and it is not what the argument intends to prove, so it is not the main conclusion. We only know that uncultivated land would avoid a major decrease in production, not that it would definitely decrease slightly.
B
Protecting the habitat of wild animals so that we can utilize these animals as a food source is more cost effective than raising domesticated animals.
This is an attempt to make a generalization from the information given; this generalization is not made or supported in our argument so it is not the conclusion. Further, the argument does not address what is cost effective.
C
The biodiversity of the North American prairie ecosystem should not be restored if doing so will have intolerable economic consequences.
The “should” in this answer is a value judgement, while the argument consists of descriptive statements, so this is not the main conclusion. Further, the argument does not specifically address economic consequences.
D
Preservation of the remaining North American bison would be a sensible policy.
The argument only specifically talks about the impacts of returning to uncultivated land on meat production and biodiversity; the argument does not make a judgement on what is or is not sensible.
E
The devastation of the North American prairie ecosystem could be largely reversed without significantly decreasing meat production.
This statement about the relationship between agriculture practices and meat production is what the rest of the argument sets out to support. This answer is a paraphrase of the last part of the argument, which we identified as the main conclusion.

9 comments