Professor: The number of new university students who enter as chemistry majors has not changed in the last ten years, and job prospects for graduates with chemistry degrees are better than ever. Despite this, there has been a significant decline over the past decade in the number of people earning chemistry degrees.

"Surprising" Phenomenon

Why has there been a significant decline over the past decade in the number of people earning chemistry degrees, even though during that period the number of new university students who enter as chemistry majors hasn’t changed, and job prospects for graduates with chemistry degrees have improved?

Objective

The correct answer should tell us about something that has changed over the past decade that could cause an increase in the number of students who graduate with a chemistry degree after starting university as a chemistry major.

A
Many students enter universities without the academic background that is necessary for majoring in chemistry.

This doesn’t tell us about something that changed over the past decade, so it can’t help explain a decline in chemistry graduates over that period. (A) might be a reason chemistry majors might change majors, but it doesn’t explain why there’s been an increase in that number.

B
There has been a significant decline in the number of undergraduate degrees earned in the natural sciences as a whole.

The stimulus gives us specific reasons to think that the number of chemistry graduates wouldn’t go down. What’s happened generally with natural sciences degrees doesn’t explain what happened to chemistry degrees.

C
Many students are very unsure of their choice when they pick a major upon entering universities.

This doesn’t tell us about something that changed over the past decade, so it can’t help explain a decline in chemistry graduates over that period. (C) suggests students would change majors, but doesn’t explain an increase in the number who change majors.

D
Job prospects for graduates with chemistry degrees are no better than prospects for graduates with certain other science degrees.

This doesn’t tell us about something that changed over the past decade, so it can’t help explain a decline in chemistry graduates over that period. Also, we still know job prospects for chem graduates has improved, so we’d still expect chem graduates not to decline.

E
Over the years, first-year chemistry has come to be taught in a more routinely methodical fashion, which dampens its intellectual appeal.

This describes a change over time that could explain why the number of students who switch away from a chemistry major has increased. This is the only answer that involves a change over time that provides a potential theory that could lead to fewer chemistry graduates.


81 comments

Politician: Union leaders argue that increases in multinational control of manufacturing have shifted labor to nations without strong worker protections, resulting in a corresponding global decrease in workers’ average wages. Given that these leaders have a vested interest in seeing wages remain high, they would naturally want to convince legislators to oppose multinational control. Thus, legislators should reject this argument.

Summarize Argument: Counter-Position
The author concludes that legislators should reject the union leaders’ argument. This is based on the fact that the union leaders have a vested interest in making the argument they did.

Identify and Describe Flaw
The author attacks the source of an argument rather than addressing the merits of the argument. Whether the union leaders have an interest in making the argument they did has no bearing on whether the argument is strong. The author should have evaluated the substance of the union leaders’ claims, not the union leaders’ interests or potential motivations.

A
treats the mere fact that certain people are union members as sufficient to cast doubt on all of the viewpoints expressed by those people
The author doesn’t try to cast doubt on “all of the viewpoints” of the union leaders. He simply tries to cast doubt on the specific argument they made, as described in the first sentence.
B
presumes, without providing justification, that anyone whose political motivations are clearly discernible is an unreliable source of information to legislators
The issue isn’t that we can clearly discern the union leaders’ motivation — the issue is that the author thinks they are motivated to make the argument they made. What matters is that they might be motivated to make the argument, not just that we can identify their motivation.
C
treats circumstances potentially affecting the union leaders’ argument as sufficient to discredit those leaders’ argument
The author treats the fact the leaders have an interest in seeing wages remain high as sufficient to discredit the argument. This is flawed, beacuse even if their argument might be affected by their interests/motivation, that doesn’t discredit the substance of their argument.
D
presumes, without providing justification, that the argument it cites is the union leaders’ only argument for their view
The conclusion is just that legislators should reject “this” argument, as in the argument described in the first sentence. The leaders might have other arguments; the conclusion doesn’t concern those other arguments. So the author doesn’t assume those other arguments don’t exist.
E
presumes, without providing evidence, that leaders of all unions argue against increases in multinational control of manufacturing
The author is responding to a particular argument made by certain union leaders. The author doesn’t assume that this argument is made by the leaders of all unions; just the particular union leaders mentioned in the first sentence.

Here's an analogy to help better see why (B) doesn't work, why it's attractive, and what the difference is between a PSA/SA answer and an NA answer.

Premise: Tom is a cat.
Conclusion: Tom likes milk.

If you see something like the above in a PSA/SA question, you might anticipate an answer like (1) "All cats like milk." That certainly would help make the argument valid. But you also would not be surprised to see an answer like (2) "All mammals like milk." Since that too would also make the argument valid (under the reasonable common sense assumption that all cats are mammals). In other words, both (1) and (2) could be the correct answer choice for PSA/SA questions.

However, just because (2) helps the argument does not mean that the author of the argument assumed it. The author could easily say, "No, I wasn't thinking about mammals at all. I was only talking about Tom, cats, and milk." It would be unreasonable to claim that the author assumed anything about mammals even though assumption (2) helps the argument greatly. Such is the nature of very strongly helpful assumptions.

I suspect this confusion might be what tempted many of you to choose (B).

Analogously, if you restate (B) to say "anyone whose political motivations are clearly discernible is an unreliable source of information to legislators", you'd get a correct PSA answer. (B) shoved back up into the shitty argument in the stimulus would really help the argument out just like how (2) shoved back up in to the Tom/cat/milk argument would help that argument out. But you cannot say that the argument assumed it. That's the difference. (B) is not descriptively accurate.


16 comments

City leader: If our city adopts the new tourism plan, the amount of money that tourists spend here annually will increase by at least $2 billion, creating as many jobs as a new automobile manufacturing plant would. It would be reasonable for the city to spend the amount of money necessary to convince an automobile manufacturer to build a plant here, but adopting the tourism plan would cost less.

Summary

City leader: If we adopt the new tourism plan, tourists will spend at least $2 billion more each year here, creating as many jobs as a new car manufacturing plant would. It would be reasonable to spend money to attract a car manufacturing plant, but the tourism plan would cost less.

Strongly Supported Conclusions

When determining the reasonableness of implementing something that would create job growth for the city, cost is an important factor.

Adopting the new tourism plan would be reasonable.

Adopting the new tourism plan would be economically beneficial for the city.

A
The city should implement the least expensive job creation measures available.

Unsupported. We know that the new tourism plan is cheaper than attracting a car manufacturing plant, but we do not know that it is the least expensive job creating measure available. The stimulus doesn’t discuss the least expensive measures or whether they should be implemented.

B
In general, it is reasonable for the city to spend money to try to convince manufacturing companies to build plants in the city.

Unsupported. The stimulus tells us that it would be reasonable for the city to spend the money necessary to convince an automobile manufacturer to build a plant, but it does not discuss the reasonableness of attracting manufacturing companies in general.

C
The city cannot afford both to spend money to convince an automobile manufacturer to build a plant in the city and to adopt the new tourism plan.

Unsupported. We are not told how much money the city has or whether it can afford to attract a car manufacturer and implement the new tourism plan. We simply don’t know.

D
It would be reasonable for the city to adopt the new tourism plan.

Strongly supported. The new tourism plan would create as many jobs as a new car factory. It would be reasonable for the city to spend the money to attract the car factory. The new tourism plan would cost less. So it would be reasonable for the city to adopt the new tourism plan.

E
The only way the city can create jobs is by increasing tourism.

Anti-supported. The stimulus explicitly states that a new car manufacturing plant would create as many jobs as increased tourism. So increasing tourism is not the only way that the city can create jobs.


26 comments

When surveyed about which party they would like to see in the legislature, 40 percent of respondents said Conservative, 20 percent said Moderate, and 40 percent said Liberal. If the survey results are reliable, we can conclude that most citizens would like to see a legislature that is roughly 40 percent Conservative, 20 percent Moderate, and 40 percent Liberal.

Summarize Argument
In a survey asking which party they want in the legislature, 40% said C, 20% said M, and 40% said L.

The author concludes that if the survey results are reliable, then most citizens would like to see a legislature that is roughly 40% C, 20% M, and 40% L.

Identify and Describe Flaw
The survey asked which party respondents would like to see in the legislature. It didn’t ask what % of the legislature should belong to each party. The author interprets the proportions that said they wanted to see a particular party in the legislature as relevant to the distribution of each party in the legislature.

Another framing of the flaw is that the author mistakenly thinks the overall breakdown of preferences for Conservative, Moderate, and Liberal legislatures is something that applies to most citizens’ individual preferences for the makeup of the legislature.

A
The argument uses premises about the actual state of affairs to draw a conclusion about how matters should be.
The conclusion isn’t about what “should” be the case. The conclusion is simply a statement about the preferences of most citizens.
B
The argument draws a conclusion that merely restates a premise presented in favor of it.
(B) describes circular reasoning. The conclusion is not a restatement of the premise, because the premise is a statement describing the results of a survey. The conclusion is not a description of the results of a survey.
C
The argument takes for granted that the preferences of a group as a whole are the preferences of most individual members of the group.
The 40/20/40 preference in the survey is the preference of the group of survey participants. But the author mistakenly thinks this 40/20/40 preference applies to individual participants in the survey.
D
The argument fails to consider that the survey results might have been influenced by the political biases of the researchers who conducted the survey.
The conclusion starts with “if the survey results are reliable” — this means the conclusion doesn’t assume the results are reliable. It makes a statement about what would be the case IF the results are reliable.
E
The argument uses evidence that supports only rough estimates to draw a precisely quantified conclusion.
The conclusion uses the word “roughly” when describing the 40/20/40 breakdown. So the argument doesn’ draw a “precisely quantified” conclusion. A statement of “rough” numbers is not precise.

35 comments

Journalism’s purpose is to inform people about matters relevant to the choices they must make. Yet, clearly, people often buy newspapers or watch television news programs precisely because they contain sensationalistic gossip about people whom they will never meet and whose business is of little relevance to their lives. Obviously, then, the sensationalistic gossip contained in newspapers and television news programs _______.

Summary
The purpose of journalism is to inform people about things that are relevant to their choices. Newspapers and TV news programs often have sensationalistic gossip, which isn’t relevant to people.

Strongly Supported Conclusions
The blank should be filled with a statement about the sensationalistic gossip in newspapers and TV news programs. Since we know that this gossip isn’t relevant to people, and we know that the purpose of journalism is to provide relevant information, we can conclude that sensationalistic gossip doesn’t serve journalism’s purpose.

A
is at least sometimes included for nonjournalistic reasons
Strongly supported. The gossip is about people who aren’t relevant to news readers/watchers. So, it doesn’t serve journalism’s purpose. This is evidence that the gossip is included in newspapers and TV news programs for some other reason besides serving journalism’s purpose.
B
prevents those news media from achieving their purpose
Unsupported. Most other news stories might serve journalism’s purpose. There’s no evidence that the inclusion of some gossip stories is a significant part of news programs or otherwise represents a significant part of what news media does.
C
is more relevant to people’s lives now than it used to be
Unsupported. The stimulus never compares the present to the past. We have no basis to reach a conclusion about whether gossip is more relevant now compared to the past.
D
should not be thought of as a way of keeping an audience entertained
Unsupported. The gossip might be included to keep the audience entertained. There’s nothing in the stimulus suggesting the gossip doesn’t entertain audiences.
E
is of no value to people who are interested in journalism
Unsupported. We don’t know what people who are interested in journalism find valuable. Maybe gossip stories are valuable to read in journalism classes to give students a better understanding of the media industry and the competitive pressures that lead to gossip stories.

15 comments

Some of the politicians who strongly supported free trade among Canada, the United States, and Mexico are now refusing to support publicly the idea that free trade should be extended to other Latin American countries.

Summary
Some politicians who strongly supported free trade among Canada, the United States, and Mexico now refuse to publicly support the idea that free trade should be extended to other Latin American countries.

Notable Valid Inferences
Not all politicians who supported free trade among Canada, the United States, and Mexico support the idea that free trade should be extended to other Latin American countries.

A
Some of the politicians who now publicly support extending free trade to other Latin American countries did not support free trade among Canada, the United States, and Mexico.
Could be false. The stimulus is restricted to politicians who do not support extending free trade to other Latin American countries. We do not have any information about politicians who do support this idea.
B
Not all politicians who now publicly support extending free trade to other Latin American countries strongly supported free trade among Canada, the United States, and Mexico.
Could be false. The stimulus is restricted to politicians who do not support extending free trade to other Latin American countries. We do not have any information about politicians who do support this idea.
C
Some of the politicians who strongly supported free trade among Canada, the United States, and Mexico have changed their position on free trade.
Could be false. We don’t have any information to infer whether these politicians have changed their position. It is possible that these politicians have never supported the idea of extending free trade to Latin American countries.
D
Not all politicians who strongly supported free trade among Canada, the United States, and Mexico now publicly support extending free trade to other Latin American countries.
Must be true. “Not all politicians” is equivalent to claiming that some politicians do not.
E
Some of the politicians who strongly supported free trade among Canada, the United States, and Mexico now publicly oppose extending free trade to other Latin American countries.
Could be false. Refusing to publicly support an idea is not equivalent to publicly opposing an idea.

21 comments

In an experiment, two groups of mice—one whose diet included ginkgo extract and one that had a normal diet—were taught to navigate a maze. The mice whose diet included ginkgo were more likely to remember how to navigate the maze the next day than were the other mice. However, the ginkgo may not have directly enhanced memory. Other studies have found that ginkgo reduces stress in mice, and lowering very high stress levels is known to improve recall.

Summarize Argument
The author concludes that ginkgo did not directly enhance the mice’s memories. This is because ginkgo lowers stress levels, and memory is enhanced when very high stress levels are reduced.

Notable Assumptions
The author assumes that the mice in the experiment had very high stress levels. If this wasn’t the case, then the mice wouldn’t have benefited from the memory enhancement that stress reduction brings. The author also assumes that the two groups of mice who navigated the maze were in all respects equal. Some quirk in one of the groups could weaken the connection between ginkgo and memory.

A
The doses of ginkgo in the diet of the mice in the experiment were significantly higher than the doses that have been shown to reduce stress in mice.
If the doses were higher, then the mice surely would’ve gotten the stress-reducing benefits of ginkgo. In turn, this would’ve helped their recall.
B
Neither the mice who received the ginkgo nor the other mice in the experiment exhibited physiological signs of higher-than-normal stress.
Since none of the mice had higher-than-normal stress levels, the stress-relieving effects of ginkgo wouldn’t have improved recall. According to the author, those effects happen when stress levels are high.
C
Some chemical substances that reduce stress in mice also at least temporarily impair their memory.
Is ginkgo one of those substances? We don’t know.
D
Scientists have not yet determined which substances in ginkgo are responsible for reducing stress in mice.
We don’t care which substance in ginkgo is responsible for reducing stress. We simply care about the effects ginkgo has on mice.
E
The mice who received the ginkgo took just as long as the other mice to learn to navigate the maze.
We don’t care how long it took them to learn. We’re concerned with memory, so we care about how well they navigated the maze the second time.

28 comments