Evidently, watching too much television can lead people to overestimate the risks that the world poses to them. A recent study found that people are more likely to think that they will be victims of a natural disaster if they watch an above-average amount of television than if they do not.

Summarize Argument
The author concludes that watching too much TV leads people to overestimate risks. Her evidence is a study showing a positive correlation between people who watch more TV than average and people who believe they’ll be victims of natural disasters.

Notable Assumptions
Based on a mere correlation, the author concludes that watching too much TV causes people to overestimate risks. She thus assumes the opposite isn’t true (i.e. worrying about risks causes people to watch more TV), or that overestimating risks and watching TV aren’t jointly caused by some third factor. She also assumes that people who believe they’ll be victims of natural disasters believe the same about other risks the world presents. For example, if these people were less inclined to believe they’ll be the victims of violent crime, then the study wouldn’t help the author’s argument.

A
Many people overestimate the dangers that the world poses to them, regardless of the amount of television they watch.
Even if most people overestimate risk, watching too much TV might still be something that leads people to overestimate risk.
B
A person is less likely to live in an area that is prone to natural disasters if that person watches an above-average amount of television than if that person watches a below-average amount of television.
This seems to strengthen the author’s argument. People who watch lots of TV are less likely than average to be at risk of suffering a natural disaster, yet they believe themselves to be more at risk than average.
C
People who watch a below-average amount of television tend to have a fairly accurate idea of the likelihood that they will be victims of a natural disaster.
We don’t care about people who don’t watch much TV. We already know they’re less likely than people who watch lots of TV to believe they’ll be the victims of natural disasters.
D
People who are well informed about the risks posed by natural disasters tend to have become well informed in some way other than by watching television.
We don’t care about people who accurately estimate the risk posed by natural disasters. We need to weaken the link between watching lots of TV and overestimating risk.
E
A person is more likely to watch an above-average amount of television if that person lives in an area that is prone to natural disasters than if that person lives in an area that is not.
People who watch lots of TV have good reason to worry about natural disasters: they’re more likely than most people to live in areas prone to natural disasters. Thus, they might not be overestimating the risk of natural disasters at all.

30 comments

Astronomer: Proponents of the hypothesis that life evolved extraterrestrially and drifted here in spores point out that, 3.8 billion years ago, Earth was bombarded by meteorites that would have destroyed any life already here. Yet 3.5 billion years ago, Earth had life forms complex enough to leave fossil remains. Such life could not have evolved here in the 0.3 billion years following the meteorite bombardments, they claim. There is good reason to regard their hypothesis as false, however, for they merely offer empirical arguments against the view that life evolved on Earth; neither they nor anyone else has provided positive support for the extraterrestrial-spore theory of the origin of terrestrial life.

Summarize Argument: Counter-Position
The author concludes that there is good reason to regard as false the view that life evolved outside of Earth and drifted to Earth on spores. This is based on the fact that proponents of this view have not offered positive support for their view. Rather, they offer only arguments against the view that life evolved on Earth.

Identify and Describe Flaw
The author assumes that the proponents’ failure to provide evidence for their theory constitutes a reason to think their view is false. This overlooks the fact that their view can be true, despite the proponents’ failure to offer evidence for it.

A
concludes, simply because there is no evidence in favor of a hypothesis, that there is evidence against that hypothesis
The author thinks the fact proponents haven’t offered evidence in favor of their view constitutes a reason to think their view is false.
B
fails to justify its claim that the view being criticized is inherently implausible
The author doesn’t claim that the proponents’ view is “inherently” implausible. The author’s reasoning is based on the fact proponents haven’t offered evidence for it.
C
reasons that a hypothesis is false simply because there is another hypothesis that is equally likely to be true
The author doesn’t point out another hypothesis that is “equally likely” to be true.
D
attempts to derive a conclusion from premises that contradict it
The author’s premises do not contradict the conclusion. The premises establish that the proponents haven’t offered evidence for their view. This doesn’t contradict the claim that the proponents’ view is false.
E
grants the truth of claims that are made by the advocates of the hypothesis but that do nothing to strengthen the astronomer’s own argument
The author doesn’t accept the claims of the proponents as true. He simply describes those claims in the first half of the stimulus. But the author then rejects the proponents’ hypothesis because they haven’t offered positive evidence for it.

30 comments

The result of attempting to whip cream in a blender is a thick, velvety substance rather than fluffy whipped cream. This is because a blender’s container does not let in enough air to whip cream effectively. Although using a special whipping-cream attachment in a blender can help somewhat, it cannot fully compensate for the container’s poor air intake.

Summary

Whipping cream in a blender results in a thick, velvety substance rather than fluffy whipped cream. This is because a blender’s container does not let in enough air to whip cream effectively. Using a special whipping-cream attachment in a blender can help somewhat, but it cannot fully compensate for the container’s poor air intake.

Notable Valid Inferences

Using a whipping-cream attachment in a blender is not sufficient to whip cream effectively.

A
Cream that has been whipped ineffectively generally becomes a thick, velvety substance rather than fluffy whipped cream.

Could be false. It is possible that cream that has been whipped ineffectively can become a substance that is not thick and velvety. We only know that cream specifically whipped in a blender becomes thick and velvety.

B
The use of a special whipping-cream attachment in a blender does not suffice to whip cream completely effectively.

Must be true. The stimulus tells that although this special attachment can help, the attachment cannot fully compensate for the container’s lack of air intake. Therefore, the special attachment is not sufficient to whip cream completely effectively.

C
When attempting to whip cream in a blender, using a special whipping-cream attachment always produces a fluffier result than could be obtained without using such an attachment.

Could be false. To claim that the attachment always produces a fluffier result is too extreme. The stimulus only tells us that the attachment can help somewhat.

D
The use of a special whipping-cream attachment in a blender can reduce the total amount of air required to whip cream effectively in that blender.

Could be false. We don’t have any information in the stimulus that suggests how the attachment functions. We only know that the attachment cannot fully compensate for the container, but we do not know in what ways the attachment actually compensates.

E
The use of a blender, with or without any special attachments, is not the most common way to attempt to produce whipped cream.

Could be false. To claim this is not the most common way is too extreme. It is possible that using a blender is the most common way, it’s just an ineffective way according to the stimulus.


25 comments

Critic: The recent biography of Shakespeare does not explain what is of most interest about him. It is by an expert on the history of Elizabethan England, and so does a good job of showing what life would have been like for Shakespeare as a man of that time. But it does not explain what made Shakespeare different from his contemporaries.

Summary
The author concludes that the recent biography of Shakespeare does not explain what is most interesting about him. This is based on the fact that the biography doesn’t explain what made Shakespeare different from his contemporaries.

Missing Connection
The conclusion asserts that the biography doesn’t explain what’s “most interesting” about Shakespeare. But the premise doesn’t tell us anything about the concept of what’s “most interesting” about Shakespeare. All that the premise establishes is that the biography doesn’t explain what made Shakespeare different from his contemporaries. The missing link is the assumption that what made Shakespeare different from his contemporaries IS the most interesting thing about Shakespeare.

A
There is no way to know what made Shakespeare different from his contemporaries.
(A) doesn’t tell us what’s most interesting about Shakespeare. So if the premise also doesn’t say anything about what’s most interesting, (A) can’t establish the conclusion.
B
The life of the average man in Elizabethan England is uninteresting.
(B) doesn’t tell us what’s most interesting about Shakespeare. So if the premise also doesn’t say anything about what’s most interesting, (B) can’t establish the conclusion. The fact the average person was uninteresting has nothing to do with what’s most interesting about Shakespeare.
C
Shakespeare was very different from the other men of his time.
(C) doesn’t tell us what’s most interesting about Shakespeare. So if the premise also doesn’t say anything about what’s most interesting, (C) can’t establish the conclusion. The fact Shakespeare was very different from other men does not imply that what made him different was the most interesting thing about him.
D
A biography should always focus on what makes its subject distinctive.
What a biography should do tells us nothing about whether this particular biography does or does not explain what’s most interesting about Shakespeare.
E
What is most interesting about Shakespeare is what made him different from his contemporaries.
We know from the premise that the biography doesn’t explain what made him different from his contemporaries. (A) establishes that what made him different is the most interesting thing about him. So the biography doesn’t explain the most interesting thing about him.

14 comments

Most people who have taken a seminar for building organizational skills in the workplace have indeed become more organized as a result; however, despite having become more organized, few have become any more efficient.

"Surprising" Phenomenon
Why do so few people become more efficient after taking an organization skills seminar, even though many become more organized?

Objective
The correct answer will be a hypothesis that highlights a key difference between how the organizational skills seminar affects organization and how it affects efficiency.

A
Some of the people who are most efficient in the workplace are not among the most organized.
This doesn’t present a difference between the effect of organizational skills seminars on organization versus on efficiency. Even if many efficient people are unorganized, we still need a reason why the seminar might contribute to people’s organization but not their efficiency.
B
Most people whose organizational skills in the workplace are below average do not take seminars for building organizational skills in the workplace.
This doesn’t explain why the seminar contributes to organizational skill but not to efficiency. Regardless of organizational skill before the seminar, we know that most people were more organized after the seminar. We need an explanation for why they weren’t also more efficient.
C
Most seminars for building organizational skills in the workplace are designed for people who have been selected for management training.
This doesn’t provide a difference between how organizational skill and efficiency are affected by the seminar. It doesn’t matter for whom the seminars are designed or who takes them; we need a hypothesis that contributes to an explanation of the seminar’s results.
D
Most people who have taken a seminar for building organizational skills in the workplace have below-average organizational skills before they enroll in the seminar.
Again, regardless of who takes the seminar or what that person’s organizational skill level is before taking the seminar, we know that most people were more organized after the seminar. We still need an explanation for why they weren’t also more efficient.
E
Most people who have taken a seminar for building organizational skills in the workplace consequently expend a great amount of time organizing their activities.
This answer provides a hypothesis that highlights a key difference between how the organizational skills seminar affects organization and how it affects efficiency. After one takes the seminar, she spends more time organizing and is thus more organized but not more efficient.

13 comments

James: Community colleges, by their very nature, work to meet the educational needs of the communities they are in. The same is not true of universities, whose primary goals differ from those of community colleges.

Margaret: A primary goal of any university is to serve the needs of the community where it is located. The main reason people have for attending a university is the same as that for attending a community college: preparing oneself for a career.

Speaker 1 Summary
James argues that universities do not work to meet the educational needs of their communities. He supports this by saying that universities’ goals differ from community colleges’ goals. Further, all community colleges have a goal of meeting their communities’ educational needs. So, if universities’ goals are different, they wouldn’t be trying to meet those needs.

Speaker 2 Summary
Margaret doesn’t make an argument, just two factual claims. Firstly, all universities have a primary goal of serving their community’s needs (presumably including educational needs). Secondly, most people attend universities and community colleges for the same reason, to prepare for a career.

Objective
We’re looking for a disagreement. James and Margaret disagree about whether a primary goal of universities is to meet their communities’ educational needs.

A
A primary goal of any university is to serve the educational needs of its community.
James disagrees and Margaret agrees, making this their disagreement. James directly states that universities do not share this goal with community colleges, while Margaret directly states that universities do have this primary goal.
B
Most universities adequately serve the educational needs of the communities in which they are located.
Neither speaker makes this claim. James and Margaret are just talking about universities’ primary goals. They don’t get as far as discussing whether universities actually accomplish those goals.
C
The main reason people have for attending a university is to prepare themselves for a career.
Margaret agrees with this and James doesn’t state an opinion. As with (E), James never mentions the reasons that people have for attending a university.
D
In a typical community, the primary educational need is to prepare community residents for careers.
Margaret seems to agree with this, but James doesn’t offer an opinion. James doesn’t talk at all about what people’s educational needs actually are.
E
The main reason people have for attending a university is the same as the main reason people have for attending a community college.
Margaret agrees with this and James does not express an opinion. Like with (C), James doesn’t discuss people’s reasons for attending universities or community colleges.

24 comments

Activist: Accidents at the Three Mile Island and Chernobyl nuclear plants have shown the dangers of nuclear power. It was earlier argued that nuclear power was necessary because fossil fuels will eventually run out. Recently, however, a technology has been developed for deriving from sewage sludge an oil that can be used to generate power. This new technology, therefore, together with the possibility of using alternative sources of energy like solar, wind, and hydroelectric power, raises the hope that we can dispense altogether with nuclear power and that we can meet our energy needs in a way that better protects the environment from harm than we do at present.

Summarize Argument
The author concludes that a new technology that derives an oil from sewage sludge makes it possible that we can turn away from nuclear power and move towards environment-friendly energy. His support is that this sewage-sludge oil can be used to generate power

Notable Assumptions
The author assumes that the oil derived from sewage sludge, along with the myriad alternatives listed, would in fact be able to replace nuclear power. He also assumes that doing so would in fact result in less environmental damage than nuclear power does, which means he believes the process of extracting and storing oil from sewage sludge isn’t as environmentally taxing as nuclear power. Finally, the author assumes that relying on sewage sludge isn’t as much of a danger as nuclear power.

A
whether the current methods of disposing of sewage sludge by dumping do environmental damage
If the current method of disposing of sewage sludge is environmentally harmful, then a process relying on sewage sludge would be environmentally harmful. This would weaken the author’s argument that sewage-sludge oil will be environmentally beneficial versus nuclear power.
B
whether the processes that are used to turn sewage into clean water and sewage sludge have been improved in recent decades
Irrelevant. We don’t care if sewage sludge and water are being properly separated. We’re interested in whether an oil extracted from sewage sludge can in fact help replace nuclear power.
C
whether the cost of producing and using oil from sewage sludge would be economically sustainable
If producing and using an oil from sewage sludge isn’t economically sustainable, then that oil certainly won’t replace nuclear power. If it is economically sustainable, then the author’s argument in favor of that oil is strengthened.
D
whether the burning of oil from sewage sludge would, in contrast to nuclear power production, produce gases that would have a harmful warming effect on climate worldwide
If burning that oil did produce harmful gases—an effect that nuclear power production doesn’t have—then the author’s claim that the sewage-sludge oil offers an environmentally-friendly alternative to nuclear power is seriously undermined.
E
whether waste products that would be produced in deriving oil from sewage sludge and burning it would be as dangerous as those produced by the mining and use of nuclear fuel
If such products were produced, then sewage-sludge oil would seem to have one of the same problems the author cites about nuclear power: danger to humans.

35 comments

In a study of tropical forests it was found that while the species of trees that is most common in a particular forest also reproduces the most, trees of the species that is rarest there tend to survive longer. This pattern holds regardless of which species of trees is the most common and which is the rarest.

"Surprising" Phenomenon
Why do trees of the rarest species in tropical forests survive longer than trees of the most common species, which reproduce the most?

Objective
The correct answer will be a hypothesis that explains a key difference between the rarest and most common species of trees in tropical forests. That difference must result in the trees of the rarest species surviving longer, either because of some quality or adaptation that is present among rare tree species, or because of overpopulation among common tree species.

A
The species of trees that is most common in a forest thrives there because it is best suited to the local climate.
This may help to explain why the common trees reproduce the most, but it doesn’t help to explain why the rarest trees survive longer. If the common trees are “best suited to the local climate,” shouldn’t they survive longer than the rarest trees?
B
Older trees tend to reproduce the least.
This doesn’t give us a key difference between the common species and the rarest species. Instead it gives us a similarity: that older trees of any species reproduce the least. We still don’t know why the rarest trees live longer while the common trees reproduce the most.
C
The study tracked preexisting tree species but did not introduce any new species to the tropical forests.
The fact that no new species were introduced doesn’t affect the study’s findings: the most common species reproduces the most, while the rarest species lives longer. We still need a key difference between rare and common species to explain these results.
D
The survival of the trees of the rarer species enables tropical forests to recover more easily from moderate destruction.
The positive effect of the rare trees doesn’t explain why they live longer. Presumably, the common trees also have positive effects on the forest. But we still don’t know why trees of the rarest species live longer than those of the most common species.
E
The trees of the common species have more competition for the resources they need than do the trees of the rare species.
This highlights a key difference between rare and common species that helps explain the study’s results. Common species face more competition for resources, which limits their lifespan, while trees of rare species, with less competition, tend to survive longer.

15 comments