Biologist: DNA analysis shows that Acacia heterophylla, a tree native to the Indian Ocean’s Réunion Island, is descended from the Hawaiian tree Acacia koa. Some think this occurred because A. koa seeds floated from Hawaii to Réunion, but that explanation is implausible, since the seeds will not germinate after being soaked in seawater. Moreover, both trees grow in the mountains, not near the shore. Seabirds sometimes carry seeds great distances, so they probably caused the dispersal.

Summarize Argument: Phenomenon-Hypothesis

The biologist hypothesizes that seabirds brought Acacia koa seeds from Hawaii to Réunion Island. He supports this by noting that seabirds can carry seeds over long distances, and by pointing to DNA evidence that shows that Acacia heterophylla trees on Réunion Island are descended from the Hawaiian Acacia koa. He argues that it’s unlikely that the seeds floated to Réunion Island because they won’t germinate after being soaked in seawater and because both trees grow in the mountains, not near the shore.

Notable Assumptions

The biologist assumes that the seeds couldn’t have floated across the ocean without being soaked in seawater. He also assumes that his hypothesis is the most likely, without considering whether there actually are seed-carrying seabirds on these islands, or whether another explanation, like humans transporting the seeds, is more likely.

A
A. koa branches carrying seeds can remain afloat for prolonged periods of time.

This supports the alternative hypothesis that the seeds floated across the ocean. It doesn’t support the biologist’s hypothesis that seabirds carried the seeds to Réunion Island.

B
There are mountain-nesting seabird species common to Réunion and Hawaii.

This strengthens the biologist's argument by addressing the assumption that seabirds actually live on both Réunion and Hawaii and are likely to carry seeds between the mountains. If mountain-nesting seabirds are common to both islands, his hypothesis becomes much more likely.

C
A. koa is thought to be descended from Acacia melanoxylon, a tree native to eastern Australia.

The argument is only concerned with the fact that A. heterophylla is descended from A. koa. It doesn’t matter what tree A. koa is descended from.

D
Ocean currents have sometimes carried buoyant objects from Hawaii to Réunion.

Like (A), this supports the alternative hypothesis by implying that the seeds could’ve floated from Hawaii to Réunion. Instead, we need an answer choice that strengthens the biologist’s hypothesis that seabirds carried the seeds between the islands.

E
Many seabird species return to land very infrequently, and often do so only to breed.

Irrelevant— we don’t know whether the “many seabirds species” in (E) are living on Réunion or Hawaii. Even if they are, this weakens the argument by suggesting that the seabirds rarely return to land to disperse the seeds.


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Javier: Government workers are paid higher hourly wages than comparable private sector employees. So the government could save money by hiring private contractors to perform services now performed by government employees.

Mykayla: An analysis of government contracts showed that, on average, the government paid substantially more to hire contractors than it would have cost for government employees to perform comparable services.

Speaker 1 Summary
Javier concludes that the government could save money by hiring private contractors to replace government employees. This is because government workers earn more per hour than comparative private sector employees.

Speaker 2 Summary
Mykayla points out that, as shown by an analysis of government contracts, the government pays a lot more on average to hire contractors than it pays for government employees to do comparable things. Her implicit point is that the government probably wouldn’t save money by replacing government workers with comparable private sector employees.

Objective
We’re looking for a point of disagreement. The speakers disagree about whether the government could save money by hiring private contractors to perform services now performed by government employees.

A
the government could reduce spending by reducing the number of employees on its payroll
Not a point of disagreement. The speakers likely agree that the government could cut spending by reducing the number of its employees. The issue is whether replacing those employees with private contractors would cost more or less than keeping those employees on the payroll.
B
the government would save money if it hired private contractors to perform services now performed by government employees
This is a point of disagreement. Javier thinks the government would save money. Mykayla provides evidence suggesting the government would not save money.
C
government workers generally are paid higher hourly wages than comparable private sector workers
Mykayla doesn’t express an opinion. She doesn’t discuss the wages of government workers and private sector employees. She only discusses the amount the government paid for services. This doesn’t necessarily translate to wages, since payments can include various non-wage expenses.
D
every service that is currently performed by government employees could be performed by private contractors
Neither expresses an opinion. Nobody specifies whether every service could be done by a private contractor. In any case, even if they did express an opinion, there’s no indication the speakers have opposing views.
E
the total amount of money that the government pays its employees annually is greater than the total amount that it spends on contractors annually
Neither expresses an opinion. Javier discusses comparative hourly wages, and Mykayla discusses comparative payments on contracts, but neither discusses total spending on employees vs. contractors.

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CEO: While we only have the sales reports for the first 9 months of this year, I feel confident in concluding that this will be a good year for us in terms of sales. In each of the last 5 years, our monthly sales average was less than $30 million. However, our monthly sales average so far for this year is over $35 million.

Summarize Argument
The CEO concludes that this will be a good year for sales, based on sales reports for the first 9 months of the year. He supports this by pointing out that the company’s monthly sales average so far this year is over $35 million, compared to a monthly sales average of less than $30 million in each of the last 5 years.

Notable Assumptions
The CEO assumes that the monthly sales average from the first 9 months of the year are representative and accurately predict the entire year’s average performance. He assumes that sales will not significantly drop during the last 3 months of the year, without considering seasonal changes or other factors that could affect end-of-year sales.

A
The CEO’s company typically has its highest monthly sales of the year during the last 3 months of the year.
This strengthens the CEO’s conclusion by addressing the assumption that sales won’t drop in the last 3 months. If sales are usually highest during this time, it's likely that the company’s sales trend will continue, leading to a strong overall year.
B
The quality of the products sold by the CEO’s company has always been considered to be relatively high.
Irrelevant— the CEO’s argument is only concerned with the company’s average monthly sales. The fact that the company’s products have always been high quality doesn't tell us anything about its monthly sales for the last 3 months of this year.
C
The CEO has a strong incentive to highlight any good news regarding the company and to downplay bad news.
This may explain why the CEO is motivated to predict a good year in sales, but it doesn’t help to strengthen his argument.
D
The CEO’s company started a new advertising campaign at the beginning of this year that has proved unusually effective so far.
This may help to explain the higher sales over the first 9 months of the year, but we don’t know whether that trend will continue through the last 3 months of the year.
E
Several other companies who sell products similar to those sold by the CEO’s company have also reported that this year’s monthly sales averages so far have been higher than previous years’ averages.
Like (C), this doesn't strengthen the argument because it doesn’t address the assumption that the first 9 months’ sales can be used to predict the entire year’s average performance.

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