Economist: There was nothing at all bumbling about my warning. Indeed, it convinced the country’s leaders to change economic policies, which is what prevented a recession.
A
indicating that the state of affairs on which the economist’s prediction was conditioned did not obtain
B
distinguishing between a prediction that has not yet turned out to be correct and one that has turned out to be incorrect
C
attempting to show that the critic’s statements are mutually inconsistent
D
offering a particular counterexample to a general claim asserted by the critic
E
offering evidence against one of the critic’s factual premises
A
It is the main conclusion of the argument.
B
It is a claim that the argument tries to rebut.
C
It is a premise that indirectly supports the main conclusion of the argument by supporting a premise for that conclusion.
D
It is a conclusion for which support is provided and that itself is used in turn to directly support the argument’s main conclusion.
E
It provides background information that plays no role in the reasoning in the argument.
This is a pretty tough question. Hopefully, you're well trained by now to always separate premises from conclusions.
This passage makes you work for it. The first sentence is a premise:
selfish --> /gov't by consent
The second sentence contains a conclusion followed by "since" and another premise:
/gov't by consent --> /democracy
Forget the conclusion for now. Let's just piece together the premises.
selfish --> /gov't by consent --> /democracy
What conclusion can you validly draw? This one:
selfish --> /democracy
What conclusion do they draw?
B(selfish) --> B(/democracy)
Sort of. They make a small assumption [/democracy --> futile to aspire to democracy]. Anyway, this is a tiny assumption and reasonable too, so let's concede this point.
Besides, they committed a huge logical error.
If I tell you that Tommy is 3 years old and just formed a new belief that this delicious object he's eating is called "banana". Can you conclude that Tommy believes that this object is a fruit? That's reasonable isn't it since banana --> fruit?
Well, that depends on whether Tommy knows that conditional relationship holds. Tommy just learned "banana". Who knows if he understands that "banana" is a sub-set of this other thing called "fruit".
Now imagine things more complex than "banana" and "fruit" and you'll see that this applies to all of us. We don't know all the logical relationships that exist. X --> Y may be true, but if we are unaware of that truth, our knowing X doesn't imply our knowing Y.
Anyway, this is not the first time that you've seen this exact error on the LSAT. Plenty of questions before this one committed similar errors.
A
infers merely from the fact of someone’s holding a belief that he or she believes an implication of that belief
B
infers that because something is true of a group of people, it is true of each individual member of the group
C
infers that because something is true of each individual person belonging to a group, it is true of the group as a whole
D
attempts to discredit a theory by discrediting those who espouse that theory
E
fails to consider that, even if an argument’s conclusion is false, some of the assumptions used to justify that conclusion may nonetheless be true
This is a pretty tough question. Hopefully, you're well trained by now to always separate premises from conclusions.
This passage makes you work for it. The first sentence is a premise:
selfish --> /gov't by consent
The second sentence contains a conclusion followed by "since" and another premise:
/gov't by consent --> /democracy
Forget the conclusion for now. Let's just piece together the premises.
selfish --> /gov't by consent --> /democracy
What conclusion can you validly draw? This one:
selfish --> /democracy
What conclusion do they draw?
B(selfish) --> B(/democracy)
Sort of. They make a small assumption [/democracy --> futile to aspire to democracy]. Anyway, this is a tiny assumption and reasonable too, so let's concede this point.
Besides, they committed a huge logical error.
If I tell you that Tommy is 3 years old and just formed a new belief that this delicious object he's eating is called "banana". Can you conclude that Tommy believes that this object is a fruit? That's reasonable isn't it since banana --> fruit?
Well, that depends on whether Tommy knows that conditional relationship holds. Tommy just learned "banana". Who knows if he understands that "banana" is a sub-set of this other thing called "fruit".
Now imagine things more complex than "banana" and "fruit" and you'll see that this applies to all of us. We don't know all the logical relationships that exist. X --> Y may be true, but if we are unaware of that truth, our knowing X doesn't imply our knowing Y.
Anyway, this is not the first time that you've seen this exact error on the LSAT. Plenty of questions before this one committed similar errors.