Economist: Owing to global economic forces since 1945, our country’s economy is increasingly a service economy, in which manufacturing employs an ever smaller fraction of the workforce. Hence, we have engaged in less and less international trade.

"Surprising" Phenomenon

Why does shifting to a service-based economy with fewer manufacturing jobs lead the economist's country to engage in less international trade?

Objective

The correct answer will be a hypothesis that explains a key difference between service and manufacturing economies. This difference must either explain why service-based economies are less engaged in international trade or why manufacturing-based economies are more engaged in international trade.

A
International trade agreements have usually covered both trade in manufactured goods and trade in services.

This gives us a similarity between trade in manufactured goods and trade in services rather than a difference. Trade agreements may cover both kinds of trade, but we still don’t know why an increasingly service-based economy leads to a decrease in international trade engagement.

B
Employment in the service sector tends to require as many specialized skills as does employment in manufacturing.

(B) gives a similarity between service employment and manufacturing employment. It doesn’t connect either to international trade or provide an explanation for why increased service employment and decreased manufacturing employment lead to decreased international trade engagement.

C
Because services are usually delivered in person, markets for services tend to be local.

This provides a difference in the market for services as opposed to manufactured goods. Because services are delivered in person, markets for services are local. Thus, if an economy is increasingly service-based, it will engage in less international trade.

D
Many manufacturing jobs have been rendered obsolete by advances in factory automation.

This may explain why the country is becoming more service-based, but it doesn’t explain why a service-based economy is less engaged in international trade. We need an answer that links the shift from manufacturing to services with a drop in international trade.

E
Some services can be procured less expensively from providers in other countries than from providers in the economist’s country.

We need an answer that explains why more services in the economist's country lead to less international trade. (E) only says that some services are cheaper abroad but doesn’t connect this to the economist’s country's level of international trade.


14 comments

Biologist: A careful study of the behavior of six individual chameleons concluded that lizards such as chameleons bask in the sun not only for warmth but also to regulate their production of vitamin D. Critics of the study—although correct in observing that its sample size was very small—are wrong to doubt its results. After all, the study’s author is well regarded professionally and has been doing excellent work for years.

Summarize Argument
The author concludes that critics of a study involving chameleons are wrong to doubt the study’s conclusion. This is based on the fact that the study’s author is well-regarded professionally and has been doing excellent work for years.

Identify and Describe Flaw
The professional reputation and background of the study’s author doesn’t constitute a reason to trust the study’s conclusion. What matters is how the study was conducted and whether the study’s conclusion is reasonable.

A
takes the behavior of chameleons to be generalizable to lizards as a whole
The author’s reasoning isn’t based on generalizing from chamelons to lizards as a whole. The reasoning is based on the study author’s background and whether that shows the results are reliable.
B
fails to explain how chameleons regulate their vitamin D production by basking in the sun
The author didn’t need to explain how chameleons regulate their vitamin D. This issue doesn’t affect whether the study author’s background constitutes a reason to find the conclusion reliable.
C
focuses its attention on the study’s author rather than on the study itself
The author focuses on the study author’s professional reputation and background rather than on the study itself. This is a flaw, because the author’s reputation and background do not reveal anything about the reliability of the study and its conclusion.
D
fails to demonstrate that the study’s critics have relevant expertise
The argument doesn’t rely on the study’s critics for support, so their expertise is irrelevant.
E
holds the study’s author to a higher standard than it holds the study’s critics
The argument doesn’t concern different standards for different people. The author simply believes that the reputation/background of the study’s author constitutes a reason to trust the study’s conclusion.

5 comments

Doris: I’ve noticed that everyone involved in student government is outspoken. So if we want students to be more outspoken, we should encourage them to become involved in student government.

Zack: Those who are in student government became involved precisely because they are outspoken in the first place. Encouraging others to become involved will do nothing to make them more outspoken.

Speaker 1 Summary
Doris concludes that if we want students to be more outspoken, we should encourage them to become involved in student government. This is based on her observation that everyone involved in student government is outspoken. Doris’s argument assumes a causal relationship between involvement in student government and being outspoken.

Speaker 2 Summary
Zack concludes that encouraging people to get involved in student government won’t make them more outspoken. This is because being outspoken is the cause of involvement in student government.

Objective
We’ re looking for a point of disagreement. The speakers disagree about the direction of the causal relationship between involvement in student government and being outspoken. Doris thinks involvement causes being outspoken. Zack thinks the relationship is reversed.

A
students should be more outspoken
Neither speaker expresses an opinion. Doris doesn’t say we want students to be outspoken, only what we should do if we want them to be more outspoken. Zack doesn’t say anything should or should not happen.
B
students should be encouraged to become involved in student government
Neither speaker expresses an opinion. Doris only says we should encourage student government involvement if we want students to be more outspoken. That’s not the same as wanting students to be more involved in student government. Zack doesn’t say what should or should not happen.
C
becoming involved in student government makes students more outspoken
This is a point of disagreement. Doris thinks involvement in student government makes students more outspoken. Zack doesn’t think so.
D
all students who are involved in student government are outspoken
This is not a point of disagreement. Although Doris agrees with this, Zack also could agree. He doesn’t say that there are any students involved in student government who are not outspoken.
E
students will not become more outspoken unless they become involved in student government
Neither speaker expresses an opinion. Doris thinks involvement causes becoming more outspoken. But she doesn’t suggest that involvement is required. Zack also does not suggest that involvement is required to be outspoken.

5 comments