Anders: The physical structure of the brain plays an important role in thinking. So researchers developing “thinking machines”—computers that can make decisions based on both common sense and factual knowledge—should closely model those machines on the structure of the brain.

Yang: Important does not mean essential. After all, no flying machine closely modeled on birds has worked; workable aircraft are structurally very different from birds. So thinking machines closely modeled on the brain are also likely to fail. In developing a workable thinking machine, researchers would therefore increase their chances of success if they focus on the brain’s function and simply ignore its physical structure.

Summarize Argument: Counter-Position
Anders concludes that researchers developing thinking machines should model them on the brain’s structure: since the structure of the brain is important in its function, thinking machines should follow a similar physical model in order to achieve a similar function.
Yang concludes that those researchers would be more successful if they focus on the brain’s function and ignore its structure. As support, Yang uses an analogy: since all flying machines modeled on birds failed, thinking machines structurally modeled on the brain are also likely to fail.

Yang concludes..... this is in contrast to Anders’ view that......

Yang disagrees with Anders that... Rather, Yang concludes that....

Identify Argument Part
The statement in the question stem is a sub-conclusion. It gains support from the analogy about birds and airplanes, and it supports Yang’s main conclusion that researchers should focus on the brain’s function and ignore the its structure to develop a thinking machine.

A
the main conclusion of the argument
The main conclusion of Yang’s argument is that researchers should focus on the brain’s function and ignore its physical structure; the claim in the question stem supports this conclusion.
B
a subsidiary conclusion used in support of the main conclusion
The claim in the question stem is a subsidiary conclusion. It is supported from one part of the argument: the premise that no flying machine closely modeled on birds worked. The claim also provides support for Yang’s main conclusion, making it a subsidiary conclusion.
C
a principle of research invoked in support of the conclusion
The claim in the question stem is not used as a general principle of research; instead, it is a prediction based on the analogous case of airplanes and birds.
D
a particular example illustrating a general claim
Yang’s argument is not illustrating a general claim; the conclusion of Yang’s argument is specific to thinking machines. Because of this, the subsidiary conclusion referenced in the question stem can not be said to be “illustrating a general claim.”
E
background information providing a context for the argument
The statement in the question stem is not used as context. Instead, it is a sub-conclusion.

4 comments

Anders: The physical structure of the brain plays an important role in thinking. So researchers developing “thinking machines”—computers that can make decisions based on both common sense and factual knowledge—should closely model those machines on the structure of the brain.

Yang: Important does not mean essential. After all, no flying machine closely modeled on birds has worked; workable aircraft are structurally very different from birds. So thinking machines closely modeled on the brain are also likely to fail. In developing a workable thinking machine, researchers would therefore increase their chances of success if they focus on the brain’s function and simply ignore its physical structure.

Summarize Argument
Yang concludes that researchers should focus on brain function rather than structure when trying to create thinking machines. This is because flying machines modeled on bird structures have never worked.

Notable Assumptions
Yang assumes that flying and thinking are similar. If flying depends more on function whereas thinking depends on structure, then Yang’s argument makes little sense. Yang also assumes that researchers should focus entirely on the aspect of the brain that will be most relevant to the eventual thinking machine (function) while totally ignoring another important aspect (structure). This means Yang thinks there’s little value at all in studying brain structure if the thinking machine won’t employ the brain’s structure.

A
studies of the physical structure of birds provided information crucial to the development of workable aircraft
If the answer is yes, then researchers should continue to study brain structure to avoid missing out on crucial information. If the answer is no, then studying structure would in fact be wasted time. The first answer weakens Yang’s argument, while the second strengthens.
B
researchers currently working on thinking machines take all thinking to involve both common sense and factual knowledge
Irrelevant. We have no idea how common sense and factual knowledge relate to structure and function.
C
as much time has been spent trying to develop a workable thinking machine as had been spent in developing the first workable aircraft
We don’t care how long researchers have spent trying to develop thinking machines and aircrafts. We care about whether they should be focusing on structure or function.
D
researchers who specialize in the structure of the brain are among those who are trying to develop thinking machines
These researchers don’t necessarily need to be specialists. Besides, Yang recommends focusing on function rather than structure.
E
some flying machines that were not closely modeled on birds failed to work
Yang doesn’t claim that all flying machines not focused on structure will work. He just says that structure isn’t useful for creating a flying machine or a thinking machine.

11 comments

The conclusion is the first sentence. The verb "promotes" is causal. We are talking about whether democracy as a political system promotes political freedom (i.e., whether it causes there to be more political freedom) in general.

Step back for a second and think about what it means to say A promotes B in general (as opposed to a specific A and a specific B). For example, exercise promotes good health (as opposed to Joe's exercising promoting his good health). Again, it's pretty obvious that we're talking about causation. But what does "causation" mean here?

Does it mean that A is sufficient for B? No. Because "exercise is sufficient for good health" is false but "exercise promotes good health" is true. Plenty of people exercise and are not in good health. In fact, their poor state of health may be why they're exercising - they're trying to improve their health. And plenty of other people exercise to the detriment of their health. They overdo it, hurt themselves, or worse. But it's still true that "exercise promotes good health."

Does it mean that A is necessary for B? No. Because "exercise is necessary for good health" is also false. Plenty of people don't exercise yet are perfectly healthy. Maybe they have great genes, a healthy diet, or they're just young. There could be a number of reasons. But it's still true that "exercise promotes good health."

The point is that a causal claim like "A promotes B" doesn't mean that A is sufficient for B nor does it mean that A is necessary for B. Because that's just not how causation works in the world. Causes tend to be partial. They tend to exert their causal power along with other causal forces. Exercise in fact is a causal component for good health but there are many other causal components (genes, diet, age, preventative medicine, not getting hit by a bus, etc.). They all work together to produce the effect.

This is the confusion at the heart of the argument. The "political scientist's" conclusion is a causal claim but she confused it for a bi-conditional claim.

Let's help her out. Let's swap out her causal conclusion with a bi-conditional conclusion: It's not the case that political freedom is promoted if and only if the political system is a democracy.

If we don't touch the rest of her argument, then she's all set. Premise one "democracies that suppress political freedom" proves that democracy isn't sufficient. Premise two "autocracies that promote political freedom" proves that democracy isn't necessary. Done!

So another way that the correct answer could have been worded is perhaps something like this: The reasoning in the political scientist's argument is flawed because it confuses a causal claim with a conditional claim.

But if you scratch that a bit and ask "Why is it a reasoning flaw to confuse a causal claim with a conditional claim," well, stroll right on over to (D). It's a flaw because in general, a cause can be a cause without being either sufficient nor necessary. Democracy can be a promote political freedom without being sufficient nor necessary for political freedom.

All of the above is with the caveat that we're talking about general phenomena, which is what this question is about. If instead you want to talk about specific phenomena, like Joe's rainy weekend rock climbing accident causing his extra-articular wrist fracture, then his rock climbing is a necessary condition. Had he not gone rock climbing, then his wrist wouldn't have broken in that exact way. But his rock climbing still isn't sufficient since all other causal forces had to conspire, e.g. the rain had to have fallen in order to make the rock slippery in the first place.


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