The Asian elephant walks with at least two, and sometimes three, feet on the ground at all times. Even though it can accelerate, it does so merely by taking quicker and longer steps. So the Asian elephant does not actually run.

Summary
The author concludes that the Asian elephant does not run. Why? Because the Asian elephant always has at least two feet on the ground at all times. In addition, it accelerates only by taking quick and longer steps.

Missing Connection
We’re trying to prove that the Asian elephant doesn’t run. But do we know from the premises what “running” requires? No. We don’t know what can establish that something doesn’t run. So, at a minimum, the correct answer should tell us what’s required to run.
To go further, we can anticipate some specific relationships that would make the argument valid. Any answer that gets us from one of the premises to “not run” could be correct. For example:
In order to run, something must have fewer than two feet on the ground at some point in time.
In order to run, something must accelerate in a way besides merely taking quicker and longer steps.

A
If an animal cannot accelerate, then it cannot run.
But the Asian elephant can accelerate. So (A) doesn’t establish that the elephant can’t run.
B
To run, an animal must have all of its feet off the ground at once.
(B) establishes that running requires having all feet off the ground at once. But we know the Asian elephant doesn’t have all of its feet off the ground at once — it always has at least 2 feet on the ground. So (B) allows us to conclude that the Asian elephant doesn’t run.
C
The Asian elephant can walk as quickly as some animals run.
(C) doesn’t tell us what’s required to run. So it doesn’t establish that the Asian elephant can’t run.
D
It is unusual for a four-legged animal to keep three feet on the ground while walking.
(D) doesn’t tell us what’s required to run. So it doesn’t establish that the Asian elephant can’t run.
E
All four-legged animals walk with at least two feet on the ground at all times.
(E) doesn’t tell us what’s required to run. So it doesn’t establish that the Asian elephant can’t run.

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Two lakes in the Pawpaw mountains, Quapaw and Highwater, were suffering from serious declines in their fish populations ten years ago. Since that time, there has been a moratorium on fishing at Quapaw Lake, and the fish population there has recovered. At Highwater Lake, no such moratorium has been imposed, and the fish population has continued to decline. Thus, the ban on fishing is probably responsible for the rebound in the fish population at Quapaw Lake.

Summarize Argument
The author concludes that the ban on fishing caused the fish population at Quapaw Lake to rebound. His evidence is that the fish population at Quapaw Lake rebounded after a fishing ban was put in place. On the other hand, the fish population at Highwater Lake, where there was no fishing ban, didn’t rebound.

Notable Assumptions
In order for the fishing ban to have made a difference at Quapaw Lake, the author must assume there was a substantial amount of fishing at Quapaw Lake before the ban went into effect. The author must also assume that no unaccounted-for outside factor (e.g. climate conditions, introduction of new species into the lake) caused the rebound.

A
Highwater Lake is in an area of the mountains that is highly susceptible to acid rain.
This provides an alternate explanation as to why the fish population at Highwater Lake continued to decline. However, for this to weaken the author’s conclusion we would need to know if Quapaw Lake isn’t located in an area highly susceptible to acid rain.
B
Prior to the ban, there was practically no fishing at Quapaw Lake.
The fishing ban couldn’t have caused the fish population to rebound at Quapaw Lake. There was hardly any fishing to begin with.
C
Highwater Lake is much larger than Quapaw Lake.
We don’t care how big the lakes are. We care about their fish populations and how fishing bans effect them.
D
Several other lakes in the Pawpaw mountains have recently had increases in their fish populations.
Perhaps those lakes also had fishing bans put in place.
E
There used to be a greater variety of fish species in Highwater Lake than in Quapaw Lake, but there no longer is.
We don’t care about variety. We care about the total population.

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Merton: A study showed that people who live on very busy streets have higher rates of heart disease than average. I conclude that this elevated rate of heart disease is caused by air pollution from automobile exhaust.

Ortiz: Are you sure? Do we know whether people living on busy streets have other lifestyle factors that are especially conducive to heart disease?

Summarize Argument: Phenomenon-Hypothesis
Merton points out that a study shows a correlation between living on very busy streets and heart disease. Merton hypothesizes that the higher heart disease rate of people on these streets is caused by air pollution from cars.
Ortiz responds that there might be other factors that are the cause of the higher heart disease rate among people who live on busy streets.

Describe Method of Reasoning
Ortiz responds by pointing out that there might be other explanations for the correlation observed in the study described by Merton. Merton’s explanation is that air pollution caused by cars is causing heart disease. Ortiz suggests that the real explanation might be related to other lifestyle factors.

A
raising a question about the validity of the study that Merton cites
Ortiz doesn’t question the validity of the study. He doesn’t question the truth of the correlation found in the study. What he questions is Merton’s explanation for that correlation. Merton’s explanation is not part of the study.
B
contending that Merton needs to take into account other effects of air pollution
Ortiz doesn’t point out the need to consider other effects of air pollution. He points out the need to consider other causes of heart disease.
C
claiming that Merton misunderstands a crucial aspect of the study’s findings
Ortiz doesn’t claim Merton misunderstands anything about the study’s findings. Ortiz might agree that Merton perfectly understands the results of the study. What Ortiz questions is Merton’s explanation of those results. Merton’s explanation isn’t part of the study’s findings.
D
raising a counterexample to the general conclusion that Merton draws
Ortiz doesn’t raise a counterexample. A counterexample would involve the existence of people who live on a busy street, but whose heart disease is not caused by air pollution. Ortiz doesn’t point out that this kind of person exists.
E
suggesting that alternative explanations for the study’s findings need to be ruled out
Ortiz, through rhetorical questions, suggests that the cause of heart disease for people on busy streets might be other lifestyle factors. To conclude that air pollution is the cause, we’d need to rule out these other explanations.

3 comments

Economist: Owing to global economic forces since 1945, our country’s economy is increasingly a service economy, in which manufacturing employs an ever smaller fraction of the workforce. Hence, we have engaged in less and less international trade.

"Surprising" Phenomenon

Why does shifting to a service-based economy with fewer manufacturing jobs lead the economist's country to engage in less international trade?

Objective

The correct answer will be a hypothesis that explains a key difference between service and manufacturing economies. This difference must either explain why service-based economies are less engaged in international trade or why manufacturing-based economies are more engaged in international trade.

A
International trade agreements have usually covered both trade in manufactured goods and trade in services.

This gives us a similarity between trade in manufactured goods and trade in services rather than a difference. Trade agreements may cover both kinds of trade, but we still don’t know why an increasingly service-based economy leads to a decrease in international trade engagement.

B
Employment in the service sector tends to require as many specialized skills as does employment in manufacturing.

(B) gives a similarity between service employment and manufacturing employment. It doesn’t connect either to international trade or provide an explanation for why increased service employment and decreased manufacturing employment lead to decreased international trade engagement.

C
Because services are usually delivered in person, markets for services tend to be local.

This provides a difference in the market for services as opposed to manufactured goods. Because services are delivered in person, markets for services are local. Thus, if an economy is increasingly service-based, it will engage in less international trade.

D
Many manufacturing jobs have been rendered obsolete by advances in factory automation.

This may explain why the country is becoming more service-based, but it doesn’t explain why a service-based economy is less engaged in international trade. We need an answer that links the shift from manufacturing to services with a drop in international trade.

E
Some services can be procured less expensively from providers in other countries than from providers in the economist’s country.

We need an answer that explains why more services in the economist's country lead to less international trade. (E) only says that some services are cheaper abroad but doesn’t connect this to the economist’s country's level of international trade.


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