The Levant—the area that borders the eastern Mediterranean—was heavily populated in prehistoric times. The southern Levant was abandoned about 6,000 years ago, although the northern Levant, which shared the same climate, remained heavily populated. Recently archaeologists have hypothesized that the sudden depopulation in the southern Levant was due to an economic collapse resulting from deforestation.

Summary

The Levant has a northern and a southern part, and both used to have high populations. The northern part still has a high population, but the southern part does not. This is because of a sudden economic collapse resulting from deforestation more than 6,000 years ago.

Notable Valid Inferences

The northern Levant did not face economic collapse about 6,000 years ago. Climate must not be part of the reason why the southern Levant is abandoned. The economic collapse is what caused the depopulation of the southern Levant, as opposed to some other factor.

A
The sheep and goats herded by the peoples of the southern Levant until 6,000 years ago grazed extensively on the seedlings and saplings of indigenous tree species.

This could be true. No information in the stimulus suggests the goats and sheep that existed prior to the deforestation and depopulation of the southern Levant did not graze on indigenous tree species’ seedlings and saplings.

B
Trees were used in the production of lime plaster, a building material used extensively throughout the southern Levant until 6,000 years ago.

This could be true. No information in the stimulus suggests trees were not used to produce lime plaster prior to the deforestation and depopulation of the southern Levant.

C
Organic remains from the northern Levant reliably indicate that tree species flourished there without interruption during the period when the southern Levant was being abandoned.

This could be true. No information in the stimulus suggests the northern Levant had any issues with deforestation.

D
Carbon dating of organic remains from the southern Levant reliably demonstrates that there were no forests present in that area prior to 6,000 years ago.

This must be false. We know the southern Levant faced economic collapse due to deforestation. Such deforestation could not have occurred if there were no forests in the region in the first place.

E
Since there are few traces of either quarried stone or of mud brick in buildings excavated in the southern Levant, it is likely that the buildings built there prior to 6,000 years ago were made almost entirely of timber.

This could be true. No information in the stimulus suggests the southern Levant’s buildings were not made solely from timber.


32 comments

Critic: Most chorale preludes were written for the organ, and most great chorale preludes written for the organ were written by J. S. Bach. One of Bach’s chorale preludes dramatizes one hymn’s perspective on the year’s end. This prelude is agonizing and fixed on the passing of the old year, with its dashed hopes and lost opportunities. It does not necessarily reveal Bach’s own attitude toward the change of the year, but does reflect the tone of the hymn’s text. People often think that artists create in order to express their own feelings. Some artists do. Master artists never do, and Bach was a master artist.

Summary

Bach was a master artist. Master artists never create music to express their feelings, but other artists (i.e., some non-master artists) do. This can be diagrammed as follows:

Notable Valid Inferences

Bach never created music to express his feelings. This means the chorale prelude discussed in the stimulus was not made to reveal Bach’s attitudes toward the change of the year.

A
Bach believed that the close of the year was not a time for optimism and joyous celebration.

This could be true. The stimulus doesn’t offer information on how Bach felt about the year ending. While his prelude on this topic wasn’t celebratory, we know that Bach’s music wasn’t designed to express his feelings.

B
In composing music about a particular subject, Bach did not write the music in order to express his own attitude toward the subject.

This must be true. Bach was a master artist, which implies that he never created music to express his feelings.

C
In compositions other than chorale preludes, Bach wrote music in order to express his feelings toward various subjects.

This must be false. Master artists such as Bach never create music to express their feelings. If someone does create music to express their feelings, they must not be a master artist, and therefore must not be Bach, as shown in the diagram below.

D
Most of Bach’s chorale preludes were written for instruments other than the organ.

This could be true. While we know that most great chorale preludes written for the organ were composed by Bach, we don't have information about his preludes for other instruments. Bach's organ preludes may have been fewer in number compared to his preludes for other instruments.

E
Most of the great chorale preludes were written for instruments other than the organ.

This could be true. We know there are some great chorale preludes written specifically for the organ—we don’t know how these compare in number to the great chorale preludes for other instruments.


53 comments

Terry: Some actions considered to be bad by our society have favorable consequences. But an action is good only if it has favorable consequences. So, some actions considered to be bad by our society are actually good.

Pat: I agree with your conclusion, but not with the reasons you give for it. Some good actions actually do not have favorable consequences. But no actions considered to be bad by our society have favorable consequences, so your conclusion, that some actions our society considers bad are actually good, still holds.

Terry says that some actions considered to be bad by our society are actually good. As premises, he gives two conditional claims, shown in the diagram below. Pat arrives at the same conclusion, that some actions considered to be bad by our society are actually good, but he arrives at this conclusion by citing two different conditional claims, shown in the diagram below.

Identify and Describe Flaw
Both speakers commit the cookie-cutter “confusing sufficiency and necessity” flaw. Terry mistakenly argues that since some bad actions and all good actions share the necessary condition of favorable consequences, some actions considered bad are actually good. Alternatively, Pat mistakenly argues that because some good actions and all bad actions share the necessary condition of not having good consequences, some actions considered bad are actually good.

A
presupposing that if a certain property distinguishes one type of action from another type of action, then that property is one of many properties distinguishing the two types of action
Neither Terry nor Pat makes assumptions about the number of properties distinguishing actions. They only argue that some actions considered bad by our society are actually good.
B
presupposing that if most actions of a certain type share a certain property, then all actions of that type share that property
This is a cookie-cutter flaw of confusing “most” for “all.” Neither Terry nor Pat discusses “most” actions of any type.
C
presupposing that if a certain property is shared by actions of a certain type in a given society, then that property is shared by actions of that type in every society
Neither Terry nor Pat discusses “every” society. Both Terry and Pat only argue that some actions considered to be bad by our society are actually good.
D
presupposing that if an action’s having a certain property is necessary for its being a certain type of action, then having that property is sufficient for being that type of action
This is the cookie-cutter “confusing sufficiency and necessity” flaw committed by both Terry and Pat. They both draw unfounded conclusions about two sufficient conditions because those sufficient conditions share a necessary condition.
E
presupposing that if a certain property is shared by two types of action, then that property is the only property distinguishing the two types of action from actions of other types
Neither Terry’s argument nor Pat’s argument addresses the number of properties distinguishing any actions. Both Terry and Pat just argue that some actions considered to be bad by our society are actually good.

102 comments

At night, a flock of crows will generally perch close together in a small place—often a piece of wooded land—called a roost. Each morning, the crows leave the roost and fan out in small groups to hunt and scavenge the surrounding area. For most flocks, the crows’ hunting extends as far as 100 to 130 kilometers (60 to 80 miles) from the roost. Normally, a flock will continue to occupy the same roost for several consecutive years, and when it abandons a roost site for a new one, the new roost is usually less than eight kilometers (five miles) away.

Summary
At night, a flock of crows will usually perch in a small place called a roost.
Every morning, the crows leave the roost to hunt and scavenge. Most flocks of crows keep their hunting to within 100 to 130 km from the roost.
Normally a flock of crows stays in the same roost for several years.
When a flock abandons a roost to form a new roost, the new roost is usually less than 8 km away from the abandoned roost.

Notable Valid Inferences
There’s no clear inference from the stimulus. I’d rely on process of elimination to identify which answer can most justifiably be rejected.

A
Crows will abandon their roost site only in response to increases in the population of the flock.
No reason to reject. We have no reason to think population changes aren’t requires in order for crows to abandon their roost.
B
When there is a shortage of food in the area in which a flock of crows normally hunts and scavenges, some members of the flock will begin to hunt and scavenge outside that area.
No reason to reject. Although we know crows typically stay within a certain hunting range, that doesn’t suggest some crows won’t go outside that range.
C
Most of the hunting and scavenging that crows do occurs more than eight kilometers (five miles) from their roost.
No reason to reject. We know the general range of hunting, but we don’t know anything about where, within that range, crows do most of their hunting and scavenging.
D
Once a flock of crows has settled on a new roost site, it is extremely difficult to force it to abandon that site for another.
No reason to reject. We don’t know anything about the difficulty of getting a flock to abandon a roost.
E
When a flock of crows moves to a new roost site, it generally does so because the area in which it has hunted and scavenged has been depleted of food sources.
Have reason to reject. When crows move to a new roost, the new one is usually less than 8 km away from the old roost. That means the hunting ranges of the old and new roosts largely overlap. That suggests the crows aren’t motivated by looking for new food sources when they move.

48 comments