LSAT 142 – Section 1 – Question 20

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Curve Question
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PT142 S1 Q20
+LR
Sufficient assumption +SA
Conditional Reasoning +CondR
Link Assumption +LinkA
A
3%
155
B
21%
159
C
5%
155
D
9%
162
E
62%
166
152
160
167
+Hardest 145.991 +SubsectionMedium


J.Y.’s explanation

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If the city builds the proposed convention center, several national professional organizations will hold conventions there. And if several large conventions are held in the city, the total number of visitors will of course increase. Tax revenues will certainly increase if the number of visitors increases. Thus, building the convention center will increase the city’s tax revenues.

Summary
If the city builds the convention center, tax revenues will increase. Why? The author gives several conditional claims as support:
If the city builds the convention center, certain organizations will hold conventions there.
If large conventions are held there, the number of visitors will increase, which in turn will increase revenues.

Missing Connection
There’s a break in the author’s chain of support: building the convention center means some conventions will be held there, but it’s specifically large conventions that will result in increased revenues.

The conclusion would be valid if we knew that those national professional organizations will hold large conventions.

A
If the number of visitors to the city does not increase, then the city’s tax revenues will not increase.
Contrapositive: an increase in visitors is necessary (as well as sufficient) to increase revenues. But adding a necessary condition to increase revenues can’t possibly help explain how some other condition (building the center) is sufficient to increase revenues.
B
If the number of visitors to the city increases, then the amount of money spent by visitors will increase.
The premises already say that if the number of visitors increases, tax revenues will certainly increase. (B) might explain the mechanism for that revenue increase, but it doesn’t affect the logic of the argument. We still don’t know if building the center will increase visitors.
C
The city’s tax revenues will not increase unless the convention center is built.
This says building the convention center is necessary to increase revenues, but we need to reach the conclusion that building the center is sufficient to increase revenues. (C) leaves open the possibility that building the center won’t be enough on its own to increase revenues.
D
People who are now regular visitors to the city will continue to visit the city if the new convention center is built.
What any specific visitors do is irrelevant. All that matters is whether the total number of visitors increases. And as as long as large conventions are held, the total number will increase. The problem is that we don’t know if building the center will lead to large conventions.
E
If several national professional organizations hold their conventions in the convention center, those conventions will be large.
This completes the conditional chain in the premises. Building the convention center means these organizations will hold their conventions there. Assuming those conventions are large, revenues will increase. So building the convention center means revenues will increase.

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